Discussing the size of the task, the four experts agreed the transition to clean energy is still in the early stages, and the task ahead is significant, with around $3 trillion of investment required locally, and around $50-100 trillion globally.
Financing the transition
CBA’s Andrew Hinchliff said Australia has come a long way over the course of the last few years, with the Chubb review ensuring our carbon markets are efficient, mandatory reporting requirements on their way, six sectoral glide paths that are due in August, and finance taxonomy coming out later in the year.
“All of these, essentially policy questions, allow certainty for capital to flow in. And the other big thing that needs to happen is the coordination of capital. When there's policy certainty, there are many different pools of capital – be it government philanthropy, growth, capital technology or VC capital banks, non-banks, and equity – all that needs to be coordinated in the right way with the right price signals to flow in there and allow it to flow efficiently in that $3 trillion number.”
Mr Hinchliff said the investment required to achieve net-zero in Australia was equivalent to the investment made on the 2005-2015 mining boom, noting a lot of money was already flowing towards renewables, which can reduce Scope 2 emissions in other sectors. In terms of what would make capital flow more freely, Mr Hinchliff said continued clarity and certainty in policy settings would be key.
Competitive advantage
Carbon Market Institute’s Kerry Shott highlighted that Australia has a competitive advantage in cheap, renewable energy, particularly in the northern parts of the country.
“I think what that means is that instead of just digging things out of the dirt, which we're very good at doing, we finally have an opportunity to become an exporter of energy-intensive goods – not manufacturing – but at least some addition to just simply mining.
“If you're going to build a big intense energy intensive export company, you need to probably put in your own private, huge renewable energy source, probably in Northern Australia with a bit of wind and a lot of solar.
“And if you've got a flexible production unit that doesn't matter whether you're on or off, you've got a huge opportunity. Things like aluminium which do need to run continuously have become much more flexible in their operations.
“And similarly, though, with data centres and other things that use a lot of energy, doesn't matter whether the sun's out continuously or not, you can back up with batteries and so on. I do think we've got an enormous opportunity.”