What obstacles does the current macroeconomic environment pose for Mirvac?
We've certainly been through a challenging period as a sector. Real estate is quite sensitive to interest rates, and when rates rise, property values tend to decline since real estate is often viewed as a bond proxy.
However, perhaps the even greater challenge has been the surge in inflation within the construction industry over the past few years. Initially driven by supply chain issues, inflation was later fuelled by post-COVID government stimulus, record infrastructure spending, the energy transition, and increased demand for data centres and housing. All of this is happening alongside an unprecedented demand for housing.
I’d say the biggest challenge we've faced is that demand for construction outstrips the available workforce. This has led to labour shortages and, unfortunately, many construction companies and subcontractors have failed. They locked in fixed prices only to face skyrocketing costs, which they couldn't sustain. This has added immense pressure to housing costs, and we've felt the impact as well.
How are you responding?
We've gone back to the fundamentals. The first priority is ensuring the balance sheet is robust enough to withstand any pressures. As a leadership team, we've focused heavily on this, with a renewed emphasis on cash flow management. There’s an old saying that "cash never lies," and that’s particularly true right now. Delays in construction impact settlement proceeds, while costs keep rising, so managing cash flow effectively is crucial to keeping the balance sheet in good shape. We've become more disciplined in this regard over the past couple of years, and we've made solid progress.
Delays in construction impact settlement proceeds, while costs keep rising, so managing cash flow effectively is crucial to keeping the balance sheet in good shape. – Campbell Hanan, Group CEO & Managing Director, Mirvac
We are also making strategic adjustments to ensure we're deploying resources in areas with the best long-term potential. For us, that’s the living sector. We see strong tailwinds in this area, driven by a chronic housing undersupply, one of the fastest-growing populations in the Western world, and record-low rental vacancy rates. Much of the rental stock is obsolete, and we believe the dangerously low levels of rental product represent a significant opportunity.
Shelter is a fundamental need, not a luxury, and we are well-positioned to lean into this opportunity over time.